Constituents! We are officially back from hiatus to breakdown and dish out our aggregated picks for the 2020 Memorial Tournament at Jack’s Place in Dublin, OH. this week.
While we were away, WiseGuysGuy, Faderian Peterson (the other 2 contributors to WiseGuysGambling) and I were laying bets left and right on the first few tournaments to various degrees of success. I had a fantastic first week back, winning all over the place on Draftkings as well as an 80/1 longshot on Daniel Berger, but we have since found ourselves on a bit of a cooler heading in to this week… sounds like it’s time for a bounce back!
What makes this particular tournament interesting? Well, starting anywhere other than Tiger Woods’ return to competitive golf would be a travesty – so let’s begin here. Tiger has had the last 5 months off and returns this week to a course where he has won an impressive 5 times. While he has been chillin on his super yacht Privacy and doing whatever it is GOATs do on a daily basis, young guns across the golf world such as Bryson Douche-chambeau, Morikowa, Xander, Viktor, Wolff, Rahm, JT and a whole slew of others have been tearing up courses left and right. With most majors this year being cancelled/moved, this week’s field tees up this event to have serious major-esque feel and drama. Oh, and speaking of drama, last week’s Workday Charity Open was nothing short of spectacular with a final round shoot-out turned playoff at this exact same course between some of golf best rising stars.
This week, Muirfield should play significantly different, with pin locations moving back to their traditional spots and the rough being overgrown since last week. The greens will be rolled and are expected to be at least 2 points higher on the stimpmeter so don’t expect the winning score to be quite as low as it was last week.
Now that we have the breakdown out of the way, let’s go to the picks!
Outright Winners
***Quick start to this section – I do not like betting short-odd favorites so unless all of our sources are calling for a short-odds favorite incredibly decisively, don’t expect to see any of those here moving forward***
Abraham Ancer 50/1 – 0.5 units
Honest Abe simple gets the job done week in and week out. Since return, Ancer has finished T-14, T-2 and T-11. Coming in to this week with his recent form looking great and having taken the week of last week when a lot of these guys chose to play, I expect Abe to be rested and ready to fire off some low rounds. 50/1 is a little too high for Abe so get him there while you can. ***Just checked and this is now at 45/1 :(***
Other Noteable longshots: Harris English (150/1), Niemann (70/1), Fitpatrick 70/1, Leishman 90/1
Top 5/10/20 Finishers
Abraham Ancer Top 20 +160 – 1unit
See above. The guy hasn’t finished outside of the Top 20 since he returned and is in great form. A more star-studded field may dilute him a little bit here, which is why you are getting +160, but it’s definitely worth a unit on Abe.
John Rahm Top 20 Even Odds – 1unit
Ok, look. I get that you can maybe argue he “hasn’t had it” in recent form, but the guy has still finished CUT, T-33, T37, T-27 since the return of competitive golf, but this is current #2 in the World Golf Rankings John effing Rahm. Prior to the hiatus, he had finished in the Top 10 in 4/5 tournaments he played and the sole tourney where he did not, he was T17. The guy is a gamer. The field is packed. He’s ready to breakout (again). Take him at Top 20 and don’t be afraid to sprinkle a half unit or two on Top 10.
Tournament Matchup Picks
Daniel Berger -120 over Fatrick Reed – 1unit
Patrick Reed is a fucking clown and Berger hit for me at 80/1 a few weeks back. A more logical approach, Berger is hot right now, shows he should have better odds than Fatrick and Reed has played every single event since the return. Fatboy has got to be tired or at least having trouble breathing around the course with his clown-cross chocker necklace. Take Berger here.
Cantlay +140 over JT – 1unit
Alright, I don’t feel great about this one but two sources picked it and I was kind of shocked to see this at +140 and not closer to even. JT obviously is on fire and showed last week he has what it takes to win here but repeating a performance like that is highly unlikely. On top of that, Cantlay is no slouch and several outlets have him picked to win this week. +140 is a good number, take it.
Hovland +100 over Hideki – 1unit
The kid can flat out play and had it not been for a bad bounce off the landing while trying to drive the green on a short par-4 last week, Vik may have been hoisting the hardware on Sunday. I love Hideki and he is always a threat to go low, but Vik should not be even money here. Take the value.
Alright fools, that’s it! Follow us on twitter @WiseGuysGamblin and let us know what you pick!
*There may be a few spelling/grammar errors. I don’t care. Wanted to get this out fast. You’re welcome.
