Faderian is back and feel free to take heed of my moniker as yesterday wasn’t the best, but it’s easier to swallow the pill of losing a few units when it comes at the hands of the Madness (looking at you Auburn, and your brainless performance in the last five minutes.)
The Madness wouldn’t be what it is for us degenerates if we didn’t hop back on the saddle. Giddy up and ride, folks.
Let’s dive in just in time to cash some fuckin bets while simultaneously bust some brackets.
- UC Irvine vs. 4. Kansas State -3.5
2:00 EST tip off
Classic matchup here between the Wildcats and Anteaters. Yes, the fucking Anteaters. This is a trendy 13 over 4 upset pick in brackets, which obviously lends you to believe that the public will be all over this spread. It opend at 5 and is down to 3.5 as of writing.
While plenty of public money has come in on the Anteaters we’ve also got a 5-2 consensus from our sharp follows picking the Anteaters (how many times can I squeeze this ridiculous mascot into this write up?)
Notably, UC Irvine has the highest chance of winning this game out of any 13 seeds and three of said sharps are picking the Anteaters outright. The absence of Dean Wade is a huge blow to KSU, and their ant eating opponents boast a stronger Effective FG%, score more per possession, and turn the ball over less. This is ripe for an upset.
However, it is March and anything goes. Take the Anteaters and their points.
The Pick: UC Irvine +3.5
- Gardner-Webb vs 1. UVA -21.5
Let’s not overthink this one. It’s a sharp consensus from our WiseGuys for The Cavaliers and they are the absolute superior team here. I can’t find one statistical angle to take the Running Bulldogs even with this many points. I will give them props for clarifying that their Bulldogs aren’t lazy pieces of shit with a short lifespan, and that they’ll be out their runnin’
Cavs have the highest differential between odds to win it all and public backing. They’ve also got some demons to exorcise from last year, and unfortunately for Gardner-Webb – those demons are taking form as Runnin’ Bulldogs. Lay the points.
The Pick: UVA -21.5
- Arizona State vs. 6. Buffalo -5.5
This one checks in at a comfortable WiseGuys consenus, but there is a bit of conflict coming from our WiseGuys.
This line is right where it needs to be and has stayed pretty steady throughout the week (before and after ASU finished off St. Johns.) The Bulls tempo and style of play on both ends of the court are a mismatch for ASU and as long as Buffalo controls the offensive boards, the Sun Devils won’t be able to keep up.
The Pick: Buffalo -5.5
- North Dakota State vs. 1. Duke -26
The Blue Devils and Zion Williamson are the odds on favorites and absolutely dismantle folks when they’re clicking. Obvious spot to take Coach K’s boys here in their opener, right? Nah. 5 of 6 WiseGuys are taking the points here.
A bunch of hyped up, one-and-done kids in their first tourney game ever to cover a massive spread is asking a lot. NDSU shoots the lights out and protects the ball very effectively. This has back door written all over it once the Blue Devils start protecting their assets.
The Pick: NDSU -26
The other picks:
VCU will have Marcus Evans after all and we’ve got another WiseGuys consensus on this one.
Pick: VCU @ pick ‘em against UCF.
Another popular upset pick here in Liberty vs. Mississippi State; but don’t get trapped. The Flames can get white hot from the field, but they won’t have an answer for Quinndary Weatherspoon in the backcourt down the stretch, and Reggie Perry should absolutely dismantle them on the boards.
Pick: Mississippi State -6.5
The Bilikens wouldn’t be here if they didn’t win their conference tourney and they are absolute trash on paper. We’ve got a consensus for the Hokies.
Pick: VT -10.5
Your boy – Faderian