Constituents,
The WiseGuys balance being degenerates at the core while also being everyday people (yes we have jobs and obligations outside of supplementing your income,) so we know that our picks and recaps can get lost in translation.
With that being said, I’m going to recap what we brought you this weekend and give you a brief look ahead to this week.
NCAAF Week 7 Recap
I’d be remiss not to start this recap without gloating about the Vols. Not only did they cover (and yes I went against all things Betting 101 and cashed them at +17.5,) but they asserted their will in the Auburn Plains and got a road W against a top 25 team for the first time since Nam. So, Go Vols. Fuck yeah. It’s ridiculous how much better of a mood I’m in when they win.
Okay, now on to the money.
First of all, this was a bat-shit crazy weekend in College Football. We had four teams in the top 10 get knocked off, and two others had to mount fourth quarter comebacks to stay unblemished. An additional four top 25 teams were upset as well. Bad day to be chalk.
However, chalk isn’t fully to blame, nor is the Top 25, for the WiseGuys worst NCAA weekend to date. Three consensus underdogs couldn’t muster covers against huge lines, Washington met defeat and a non-cover in OT, and our lone winner (CSU Rams pick ’em) barely snuck out a W for us.
1-4 is bad, like really bad, but one weekend at the bottom isn’t going to keep us down. However, we’re not just NCAAF guys as all money in sports is still green. So on to the next one…
NHL – Saturday 10/13 Recap
If you’re not following me on Twitter, do so now: @GWiseguys or search “Faderian Peterson”. That’s not necessarily an order, but I’m on fucking fire with NHL picks and that’s not going to change. If you tailed me on Saturday then you offset the NCAAF losses a bit.
Here’s the deal with hockey, I have to live on Twitter to bring the Constituents that content. It’s not as heavily bet on (especially during football season) so waiting until the lines settle and seeing where the market is means my picks are coming out an hour or two before puck drop. More picks, less content – you take what you can get and you can get it on the Twittersphere.
We’re off to a 20-10 (66.7%) to start the season, and honestly it’s only going to get better with the sample size of data growing each game.
Saturday yielded a 4-2 day on the ice and one of those losses was easy to stomach as it was a flier on a +205 Red Wings line. Heavy favorites at home (like the Preds,) are going to be picked in regulation most of the time to avoid the juice.
NFL Week 6 Recap
The WiseGuys bounced back on Sunday with a 3-0 clip on the aggregate picks. The other picks (non-consensus and non-sponsored but still published) also went 3-1-1.
The Redskins bounced back on a short week, the Cardinals covered but lost yet again, and the Bills did the same. The Cardinals and Bills are becoming the Lovable Losers for us WiseGuys – they love losing but the also and most importantly love covering.
Keep giving us those double digit lines, Vegas!
So with that being said, here’s a look at our current historical breakdown for Pigskin picks this year:
For those that are new to this world, that’s fucking ridiculous and its good to be a WiseGuy right now.
Looking ahead to MNF, NCAA Week 8, NFL Week 7, and the NHL:
Monday Night Football provides a tricky number with the schizophrenic Green Bay Packers taking on a lowly San Francisco 49ers team. The line has stayed around -9.5 so far and the total is hovering in the mid-40’s. Our sources are split pretty much down the middle and that won’t change enough for us to have a MNF pick but I will be tweeting out some props closer to game time just because fuck it, I’m a sucker.
NCAA Week 8 has a handful of important matchups that should make for an exciting weekend. Four Top-25 matchups are looming: Harbaugh’s #6 Wolverines control their own destiny currently and get a huge road test against the up and down Spartans of #24 Michigan State; #3 Clemson gets another real foe in upstart #16 NC State but they will be in the comfort of their own confines; #5 LSU will continue their dream season at home against #22 Mississippi State; and #12 Oregon goes on the road to test a #25 Washington State team that’s new to the 2018 ranked party.
While all of these matchups will make for great football and great TV, I’d imagine that our aggregate picks will identify exploitable numbers elsewhere.
NFL Week 7 will feature divisional swing games of Texans @ Jags and Cowboys @ Redskins; we’ll also see how legit the Bengals are and if they can bounce back post-loss to the Steelers and go toe-to-toe with the high powered Chiefs.
Outside of those three games being the ones to watch, I’d imagine the lines will be pretty tight across the board and we’ll be here to decipher where the money should be allocated.
NHL will continue to print money I assure you and I’ll toss some MLB Championship Series’ plays out there as they come up (leaning the Brew Crew tonight,) so find me on twitter (2nd plug of the article!)
Our dude Guy will also be bringing you the NBA and NCAAB tickets soon as well. There’s a lot on the horizon, Constituents!
Stay tuned for posts on the website and another Podcast from your boys barring unforeseen real life responsibilities.
Secure the bag folks,
Faderian
