IT GOIN DOWN
Constituents! Here we are. It has been a fun inaugural NFL season with yall and I hope that you have enjoyed our content (and winning percentage) as much as I have this year. This little experiment has certainly been fun and I think I speak for Geezy and the Guy when I say, thank you for reading. Now, on to the breakdown.
The two most important parts of this game: The Patriots are a bunch of insufferable douchebags who constantly cheat to win and the entire world is rooting for the Rams. That’s pretty much it. As for on the field, these two teams are a good matchup, with the line originally opening as Rams -1 for about 30 seconds before the sharps and public alike immediately pounded that shit to Rams +2.5, a number that seems a lot closer to where it should be. The God’s honest truth in this game, the Rams are most likely the better team but the Patriots have been the safest playoff game lock for going on about 15 years now. So what is a playa to do!?
Official WiseGuy Props
1st Quarter Under 10.5 Total Points (-130)
So here is how the game will most likely start, the Rams will be BEYOND hyped and come out with some early jitters. Brady will come out doing his typical, bullshit 7-yard rub route to Edelman followed by a swing pass to White and then they will proceed to alternate this garbage all game. The Patriots, both in the Super Bowl and for the last several years, have had a notoriously low scoring percentage in the first quarter so if you are getting anything -130 or better on this line, hit it. This is my personal favorite prop for Sunday.
Total Players with a Pass Attempt – Over 2.5 (-130)
So I don’t like that this isn’t sitting at even money, but I think it is to be expected that someone other than Brady or Goff will throw a pass in this game. Scenarios where this will happen: Goff or Brady gets rocked and needs to take a play or two off, a fake punt or FG attempt or, the one with probably the best odds, a trick play where another player tosses one. In case you’ve been living under a rock, Edelman was a QB in college and the Pats attempted a pass to Brady in last year’s Super Bowl (that could’ve changed the outcome of that game completely by the way) and I think there is a good chance they make that move again. Goff is also pretty athletic so I would not be surprised to see him lined up wide once or twice this game either.
Will there be a 2-point Conversion Attempted – Yes (-120)
It’s not uncommon, can flip the game and I expect one to be taken. Both of these coaches are aggressive when the time is right and I can see an attempt coming in this game. It’s as simple as that. It doesn’t have to be successful, just attempted. I’ll take those odds.
WiseGuys Game Pick
Reason #1,000,000 why I hate bookmakers: Rams +2.5 is -105 but Rams +3 is -135. So. Fucking. Annoying. But, we are taking the Rams in this one and buying the juice and the line up tp +3. As stated earlier, the Rams are the better tetam and should win this game. This is a bet against pedigree, not talent. Best of luck and as always…
SECURE. THE. BAG.